I found this an interesting book, I trying to understand the source and accuracies of data-base anything in todays’ world. He sets up the premise with examples of how the majority of experts will always 86% of the time gets wrong when trying to guess the statistical facts f life:
- What age are most girls educated
- Birth rate
- Etc
Factfulness is recognizing when a story talks about a gap:
Beware of comparisons of averages
Beware of comparisons of extremes
The view from up here - everything else looks equally short but it isn’t
None of us has all the mental capacity consume all the information out there
Critical thinking is always difficult, but its almost impossible when we scared
How to control getting angs out of proportion : compare and divide Never leave a number all by itself.
Being always in favor or always against any particular idea makes you blind to information that doesn't fit your perspective. This is usually a bad approach if you'd like to understand reality. Instead constantly test your favorite ideas for weakness be humble about the extent of your expertise be curious about new information that doesn't fit information from other fields. Great knowledge can interfere with an expert's ability to see what actually works. We should be highly skeptical about conclusions derived purely from number crunching
To control the single perspective instinct get a toolbox not a hammer; thankfulness is recognizing that a single perspective can limit your imagination. Beware of simple ideas and simple solutions; welcome complexity combine ideas solve problems on a case by case basis. Resist blaming of any kind - much more complicated than that because the problem is that when we identify the bad guy you're done thinking. Its almost always about multiple interacting causes, if you really want to change the world and understand how it actually works forget about punching anyone in the face. (Story of college protests want to punch
- Global pandemic
- Financial Collapse
- WWIII
- Climate change
- Extreme poverty
Education we should be teaching our children the fact-based update framework life on the four levels in the four regions.
Need to teach our children humility (you need to speak about extensively about the limits of knowledge; happy to say I don’t know everything and I can change my opinion.
Four Income Levels
1.Level One. - $2
- Level Two - $8
- Level Three- $32
- Level Four -
Drinking Water
Transportation - foot - bike - Moto cycle - car
Cooking : fire - tank gas - gas portable top -oven top
Eating
Sleep
1B - NS. AMERICAN
1B - Europe
1b - Africa
4b - Asia